Saturday, January 7, 2017

2017 Oscar Predictions: Best Animated Feature

Studio Ghibli hopes to fend off blockbuster contenders from Disney/Pixar and Walt Disney Animation Studios this year.

Finding Dory
“Finding Dory”
The Academy has been giving out the Best Animated Feature prize for 15 years now, and Pixar has claimed nine victories, the most of any studio. This feat bodes well for “Finding Dory,” the studio’s critically hailed blockbuster sequel to Oscar-winner “Finding Nemo.” In this category, at least, sequels are not a bad thing — “Toy Story 3” took home two Oscars.
"The Red Turtle"
“The Red Turtle”
Pixar’s home, Walt Disney Animation Studios, meanwhile, has been on a meteoric rise over the past several years, notching back-to-back wins for “Frozen” and “Big Hero 6” in 2014 and 2015, respectively. The studio is in the midst of another golden age, and this year’s $1 billion global blockbuster “Zootopia” will easily find a place among the year’s nominees, along with their latest princess musical, set in the Pacific Islands, Thanksgiving breakout “Moana,” with three song contenders written by “Hamilton” star Lin-Manuel Miranda.
But while these dominating animation studios have big-time contenders, not to be overlooked is Studio Ghibli’s “The Red Turtle,” which emerged after earning unanimous raves at the Cannes Film Festival, followed by Toronto. Sony Pictures Classics is handling the domestic release and will definitely be pushing for the Oscar, which Studio Ghibli hasn’t won since Hayao Miyazaki’s “Spirited Away” in 2003.
Stop-motion studio Laika keeps creating strong animated stories and lyrical Japanese fairy tale “Kubo and the Two Strings” is their most visually elegant to date.
"Zootopia"
“Zootopia”
Also playing well at Toronto was Illumination’s second film of the year, Garth Jennings’ holiday musical “Sing,” which brings a joyous singing contest to life with well-known popular songs.
Frontrunners:
“Finding Dory” (Pixar/Disney)
“Kubo and the Two Strings” (Laika/Focus Features)
“Moana” (Disney)
“The Red Turtle” (Studio Ghibli/Sony Pictures Classics)
“Zootopia” (Disney)
Contenders:
“Miss Hokusai” (Gkids)
“My Life as a Zucchini” (Gkids)
“Sing” (Illumination/Universal)
“Trolls” (DreamWorks/Fox)
Long Shots
“Long Way North” (Shout Factory)
“The Little Prince” (Netflix)
“The Secret Life of Pets” (Illumination/Universal)
“Storks” (Warner Bros.)

source
http://www.indiewire.com/2016/11/2017-oscar-predictions-best-animated-feature-1201688001/

2017 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actress

In this race it's Viola Davis ("Fences") vs. Michelle Williams ("Manchester by the Sea").

"Manchester By The Sea"
“Manchester By The Sea”
New York Film Critics Circle winner Michelle Williams is a sure shot for her powerful supporting role as a young wife in “Manchester by the Sea.” While she doesn’t have much screen time, she will land a nomination for one pivotal heart-breaking scene in which she attempts a reconciliation with her ex-husband (Casey Affleck).
She might have been the frontrunner if Paramount hadn’t decided to place “Fences” Tony-winner Viola Davis in the Supporting Actress race instead of the more crowded Best Actress field. She kills it, so now Williams has serious competition. Both landed Critics Choice, Globe and SAG Award nominations, and Davis took home the Critics Choice Award.
Denzel Washington and Viola Davis at the LA Guild Screening of “Fences” at the Regency Village Theatre.
Alex J. Berliner / ABImages
Breaking out at Telluride was National Board of Review winner Naomie Harris as the crack addict mother in Barry Jenkins’ “Moonlight,” and at Toronto, “The Theory of Everything” Oscar nominee Felicity Jones as a mother fighting cancer in “A Monster Calls,” and Nicole Kidman as Dev Patel’s adoptive Australian mother in “Lion.” Harris and Kidman scored Critics Choice, Globe and SAG nods.
Long-shot contenders include Greta Gerwig, who pops out of the ensemble in Mike Mills’ relationship dramedy “20th Century Women,” which drew raves at the New York Film Festival and earned Gerwig a Critics Choice, but no Globe or SAG nominations.
Emerging with an ensemble nomination for “Hidden Figures” at the National Board of Review and SAG are Octavia Spencer and Janelle Monáe as NASA mathematicians; Spencer nabbed Globe and SAG nods, while Monáe is also strong in “Moonlight” and scored a Critics Choice nomination.
20th Century Women
“20th Century Women”
A24

Best Supporting Actress Contenders Chart (in alphabetical order).

Frontrunners:
Viola Davis (“Fences”)
Naomie Harris (“Moonlight”)
Nicole Kidman (“Lion”)
Octavia Spencer (“Hidden Figures”)
Michelle Williams (“Manchester By the Sea”)
Contenders:
Greta Gerwig (“20th Century Women”)
Felicity Jones (“A Monster Calls”)
Janelle Monáe (“Hidden Figures”)
Long Shots:
Helen Mirren (“Eye in the Sky”)
Julianne Moore (“Maggie’s Plan”)

source 
http://www.indiewire.com/2016/12/2017-oscar-predictions-best-supporting-actress-1201687993/

2017 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actor

This Oscar race is dominated by Mahershala Ali, the drug dealer in "Moonlight," with Academy favorite Jeff Bridges nipping at his heels. Updated 12/20/16.

Moonlight
“Moonlight”
Emerging at Sundance was Wes Anderson discovery Lucas Hedges (“Moonrise Kingdom”) for his performance in Kenneth Lonergan’s “Manchester By the Sea.” As Patrick, Hedges switches on a dime from a son mourning his father (Kyle Chandler) and tussling with his uncle (Casey Affleck) about his future to flirting with high school girls. A star is born.
Jeff Bridges won critics’ raves at Cannes for surprise indie sleeper “Hell or High Water,” and Hugh Grant returned to the screen in form-fitting style as the devoted younger husband/manager of Meryl Streep’s “Florence Foster Jenkins.”
Kyle Chandler, Lucas Hedges, Matt Damon, Kenneth Lonergan, Casey Affleck at ‘Manchester By The Sea’ Sundance premiere.
Photo by Chelsea Lauren/REX/Shutterstock
Breaking out at Telluride and Toronto was Barry Jenkins’ ensemble in “Moonlight” (A24), especially “House of Cards” star Mahershala Ali in the role of the Cuban-born drug-dealer who nurtures the young boy “Little.” So far Ali is the frontrunner, winning the Gotham, New York and Los Angeles film critics and Critics Choice awards.
“Hell or High Water”
In Venice and Toronto, “Slumdog Millionaire” star Dev Patel won kudos for his moving performance in “Lion,” as the adult who finds the parents he lost at age five via Google Earth. He landed Critics Choice, Golden Globe and SAG nominations. Peter Sarsgaard delivered as Bobby Kennedy opposite Natalie Portman in “Jackie” (Fox Searchlight). And Michael Shannon stole Tom Ford’s “Nocturnal Animals” (Focus) from his costars by adding some welcome humor to the heavy proceedings.
"Lion"
“Lion”
The Weinstein Company
Denzel Washington’s movie of August Wilson’s “Fences” brings back together the storied Broadway ensemble, and both Stephen Henderson and Mykelti Williamson are earning raves. Martin Scorsese’s late-breaking “Silence” introduces dazzling monologuist and actor Issei Ogata as the sophisticated and conniving government official who seeks to save Japan from Christianity.
fences
“Fences”
Paramount Pictures
Early year long-shots include Alan Rickman, who could join the ranks of posthumous Oscar nominees for his rich performance as a British general trying to engage a drone strike on terrorists in Bleecker Street’s 2016 indie hit “Eye in the Sky,” and Ralph Fiennes’s volcanic supporting performance in “A Bigger Splash,” just the kind of show-stopping turn Oscar voters love to acknowledge. The question is will they be remembered so many months after release?
Frontrunners:
Mahershala Ali (“Moonlight”)
Jeff Bridges (“Hell or High Water”)
Hugh Grant (“Florence Foster Jenkins”)
Lucas Hedges (“Manchester by the Sea”)
Dev Patel (“Lion”)
Contenders:
Stephen Henderson (“Fences”)
Issei Ogata (“Silence”)
Alan Rickman (“Eye in the Sky”)
Michael Shannon (“Nocturnal Animals”)
Mykelti Williamson (“Fences”)
Long Shots
Ralph Fiennes (“A Bigger Splash”)
Aaron Eckhart (“Sully”)
Peter Sarsgaard (“Jackie”)
source
http://www.indiewire.com/2016/12/2017-oscar-predictions-best-supporting-actor-1201687997/

2017 Oscar Predictions: Best Actress

This year's field is more crowded than usual, from festival darlings Emma Stone, Natalie Portman and Amy Adams to newcomer Ruth Negga. Updated 12/20/16.

"Loving"
“Loving”
It’s one of the most competitive Best Actress races in years.
“Birdman” nominee Emma Stone came out of Venice (winning Best Actress), Telluride and Toronto with raves for her role as a singer-dancer-actress in Damien Chazelle’s  TIFF audience-winner “La La Land.” Amy Adams also broke out at Telluride (which gave her a tribute packed with clips of her Oscar-nominated performances in “American Hustle,” “The Master,” “The Fighter,” “Doubt,” and “Junebug”) in sci-fi thriller “Arrival,” ably carrying her starring role as an empathetic linguist able to communicate with alien visitors. She also stars in a more glamorous vein in Tom Ford’s divisive “Nocturnal Animals,” which doesn’t hurt.
Breaking out at Venice and Toronto, where Fox Searchlight snapped it up for a December 9th release, was Pablo Larrain’s “Jackie,” starring Natalie Portman as the grieving widow of John F. Kennedy in the aftermath of his killing. Critics raved and she won the Critics Choice Award, also landing a Golden Globes nomination.
This year’s breakout contender is Irish actress Ruth Negga. Not only is she tearing up the small screen as the badass Tulip in AMC’s “Preacher,” but her first major lead role on the big screen could earn her a Best Actress nomination. Under the direction of Jeff Nichols, in “Loving” Negga delivers a refined portrayal of a woman battling race laws to live in peace with her husband and their children.
The Academy occasionally embraces foreign actors in its acting categories (see Marion Cotillard, Juliette Binoche and Emmanuelle Riva), which bodes well for Isabelle Huppert’s lauded performance in Paul Verhoeven’s taut mystery “Elle” (Sony Pictures Classics), which debuted well at Cannes. The veteran French actress pulls off one of the year’s most challenging characters— a rape victim who refuses to let her abuse define her — as she claims her identity as an entrepreneur, mother and sexually active older woman. Adding heat is another major performance in Mia Hansen-Love’s “Things to Come” (IFC).
These actresses will be joined by a spate of potential contenders, including Oscar winner Meryl Streep (“Florence Foster Jenkins”), as well as past nominees who are overdue, such as Annette Bening (20th Century Women”) and “Hidden Figures” star and Oscar nominee Taraji P. Henson (“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”).
Paramount has opted to campaign Tony-winner Viola Davis (“Fences”) in the less competitive Supporting Actress category, which opens up a much-needed slot.
Emily Blunt (“The Girl on the Train”) and Streep landed SAG nominations, which may or may not be repeated on Oscar nominations morning.
Remember, in order to be a frontrunner we need to have seen the film.
Frontrunners:
Amy Adams (“Arrival”)
Annette Bening (“20th Century Women”)
Isabelle Huppert (“Elle”)
Natalie Portman (“Jackie”)
Emma Stone (“La La Land”)
Contenders:
Ruth Negga (“Loving”)
Meryl Streep (“Florence Foster Jenkins”)
Long Shots:
Emily Blunt (“The Girl on the Train”)
Jessica Chastain (“Miss Sloane”)
Taraji P. Henson (“Hidden Figures”)

source
http://www.indiewire.com/2016/12/2017-oscar-predictions-best-actress-1201687987/

2017 Oscar Predictions: Best Actor



The Oscar is Casey Affleck's to lose--but Denzel Washington is coming on strong.

"Manchester By The Sea"
“Manchester by the Sea”
Steady as he goes is Gotham, National Board of Review, New York Film Critics Circle and Critics Choice winner Casey Affleck, who carries Sundance debut “Manchester by the Sea” as a capable Boston janitor weighed down by sadness, anger and depression. What happened to make him this way? That is what Lonergan’s precisely crafted movie carefully reveals. While Affleck has delivered many fine performances, often supporting, and was nominated eight years ago for “The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford,” he has never taken on such a complex and emotional role.
His main competition comes from fellow Critics Choice, Golden Globe and SAG Award nominee Denzel Washington, who directs himself in the film version of August Wilson’s Tony-winning play “Fences,” as a Pittsburgh ex-baseball slugger turned garbage man who is angry at the world. He knocks it out of the park.
"Fences"
“Fences”
Joel Edgerton flirted with the Best Supporting Actor race for his strong turns in “The Great Gatsby” and “Black Mass,” but his lead role in Jeff Nichols’ “Loving” had many at Cannes calling an Oscar nom a certainty. Playing Richard Loving, Edgerton brings muscular conviction to this strong but tender man who wants nothing more than to be able to take care of his wife and family. It’s an internally rich performance that landed Critics Choice and Globe nominations but no SAG slot.
"Hacksaw Ridge"
“Hacksaw Ridge”
Mel Gibson’s bloody World War II drama “Hacksaw Ridge” scored with critics and audiences in Venice, who praised Andrew Garfield’s performance as a Pacifist medic trying to save his fellow soldiers on the battlefield; he landed a Critics Choice, Golden Globe and SAG nominations. The movie also hit big at the box office. Lending him added momentum is strong reviews for his role as a Portuguese Jesuit priest in Martin Scorsese’s Christmas drama “Silence.”
Breaking out at Telluride was Oscar-winner Tom Hanks as heroic pilot “Sully” in Clint Eastwood’s drama and nominee Ryan Gosling (“Half Nelson”) as a singing, dancing, piano-playing jazz man in Damien Chazelle’s audacious reinvention of the musical, “La La Land.” Both nabbed Critics Choice mentions, nut Hanks was snubbed by the Globes and SAG.
The Screen Actors and Globes both nominated “Captain Fantastic” star Viggo Mortensen for his role as a beleaguered single father raising his sprawling brood in the deep forest. That will make many Actors Branch voters catch up with the indie.
Alphabetical listing below.
Frontrunners:
Casey Affleck (“Manchester by the Sea”)
Joel Edgerton (“Loving”)
Andrew Garfield (“Hacksaw Ridge)
Ryan Gosling (“La La Land”)
Denzel Washington (“Fences”)
Contenders:
Tom Hanks (“Sully”)
Viggo Mortensen (“Captain Fantastic”

source 
http://www.indiewire.com/2016/12/2017-oscar-predictions-best-actor-1201687982/

2017 Oscar Predictions: Best Director

Kenneth Lonergan, Denzel Washington and Barry Jenkins look to score their first Best Director nominations against the likes of Martin Scorsese and Clint Eastwood. Updated 12/20/16.

Denzel Washington and Viola Davis at the LA Guild Screening of “Fences” at the Regency Village Theatre.

This year’s Best Director battle boasts frontrunners who emerged from the year’s film festivals.
Breaking out at Sundance was Kenneth Lonergan’s intense four-hankie family drama “Manchester by the Sea,” which is not only a frontrunner for original screenplay and actor (winning the New York Film Critics Circle for both), but director. Lonergan’s portrait of a New England family dealing with death and loss masterfully reveals information in the present and via flashbacks over a disciplined two hours and 15 minutes. Lonergan’s ensemble cast led by Casey Affleck is superb.
"Manchester By the Sea"
“Manchester By the Sea”
Jeff Nichols is in the mix for his measured and refined direction of interracial marriage drama “Loving,” which critics agreed was the one surefire awards contender to emerge from Cannes this year. He brings a grounded urgency to a storyline that could have been rendered as emotion-baiting melodrama. Nichols started the year strong with the well-reviewed sci-fi drama “Midnight Special,” and with respected dramas “Mud” and “Take Shelter” behind him, he may be ready to join the Oscar directors’ club.
The other Cannes breakout was “Starred Up” director David Mackenzie’s tough contemporary western “Hell or High Water,” starring Chris Pine and Ben Foster as bank robber brothers who are chased by a Texas Ranger (Jeff Bridges). Critics are lauding the year’s biggest indie hit ($26 million). Mackenzie is nominated for the Critics Choice directing award.
La La Land
“La La Land”
COURTESY OF SUMMIT ENTERTAINMENT
At Telluride, Critics Choice nominee Clint Eastwood unveiled heroic drama “Sully” starring Tom Hanks as a pilot who saved 155 passengers by landing his aircraft on the Hudson River. It’s a strong story well told, and audiences ate it up. Another Critics Choice nomination went to Damien Chazelle, who entered the Oscar race with “Whiplash,” winning two; he won the Critics Choice Award for his audacious show business musical “La La Land,” starring Emma Stone and Ryan Gosling as struggling creative artists. (See “Birdman,” “The Artist,” and “All that Jazz.”). The Globes gave it seven nominations and the Academy is also responding rapturously.
Critics Choice nominee Denis Villeneuve’s gorgeously executed “Arrival” is a brainy sci-fi mind-twister in the mold of Christopher Nolan’s “Interstellar,” ably carried by Amy Adams, and audiences are responsive. Gotham, National Board of Review and New York Film Critics winner Barry Jenkins, who also nabbed Critics Choice and Globes nods, delivers a strong second feature with “Moonlight,” which picked up raves at Telluride, Toronto and New York and gained ground by playing well on the specialty circuit, backed by the best reviews of the year.
Gaining buzz from Venice and Telluride was “Jackie” (December 9, Fox Searchlight), a close-up look at JFK’s grieving widow; it’s Pablo Larrain’s third film of the year (the other is Chilean 2016 Golden Globe entry “The Club” and this year’s Globe nominee “Neruda”) and his first in English. Another indie, “20th Century Women” (A24, December 25), writer-director Mike Mills’ follow-up to “Beginners,” built momentum out of the New York Film Festival, especially for his exemplary cast led by Annette Bening, who nabbed Critics Choice and Golden Globe nominations.
Moonlight - Barry Jenkins
Other names in the late-breaking mix are Martin Scorsese with “Silence,” a meditative story of faith in feudal Japan and a multi-hyphenate ready for his first directing nod, Denzel Washington, for his film adaptation of the Tony-winning revival of August Wilson’s “Fences,” which landed a Critics Choice nomination but only acting nods from the Golden Globes.
Don’t count out director Jon Favreau for his superb delivery of “The Jungle Book” (among the best-reviewed movies of the year) starring a live action boy who seemed grounded in a digital universe of animated jungle animals. Sure, A VFX nomination will come, but Favreau made this global blockbuster sing seamlessly, with energy and humor.
Veteran Eastwood is in the running for Best Director for “Sully” along with  “Braveheart” Oscar-winner Mel Gibson, who while earning strong reviews, good box office and an AFI Top Ten slot and Critics Choice and Golden Globes nominations for popular World War II movie “Hacksaw Ridge,” is still a question mark with the Academy.
Where are the women, you ask? Writer-director Rebecca Miller’s sixth feature, sophisticated New York comedy of manners “Maggie’s Plan,” earned kudos at Toronto and Sundance but scored modestly on the specialty circuit ($3.5 million). Sony Pictures Classics sent out early screeners, but Woody Allen aside, relationship comedies do not often compute with Academy voters.
Similarly, Disney heart-tuggers with a humanistic female empowerment theme like “Queen of Katwe,” no matter how much director Mira Nair was praised by critics, simply won’t be sampled by many voters who think they know what the movie is without watching it. What other women directors are in the running? Andrea Arnold’s Cannes prize-winner “American Honey” has scored strong reviews, but is still likely to play best with the arthouse crowd, along with German Maren Ade’s deliciously hilarious, three-hour “Toni Erdmann,” which won five European Film Awards and was shortlisted for the foreign-language Oscar.
Those hoping for women directors competing at the Oscars may have to look at animation, documentary and foreign language categories.
Frontrunners: (in alphabetical order)
Damien Chazelle (“La La Land”)
Barry Jenkins (“Moonlight”)
Kenneth Lonergan (“Manchester by the Sea”)
Denis Villeneuve (“Arrival”)
Denzel Washington (“Fences”)
Contenders:
Clint Eastwood (“Sully”)
Jon Favreau (“The Jungle Book”)
Pablo Larrain (“Jackie”)
Mike Mills (“20th Century Women”)
Jeff Nichols (“Loving”)
Martin Scorsese (“Silence”)
Long Shots:
Maren Ade (“Toni Erdmann”)
Andrea Arnold (“American Honey”)
J.A. Bayona (“A Monster Calls”)
Garth Davis (“Lion”)
Mel Gibson (“Hacksaw Ridge”)

source
http://www.indiewire.com/2016/12/2017-oscar-predictions-best-director-1201687977/

2017 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture

"Manchester By The Sea"


The Oscar race is in full swing, and the strongest contenders are building momentum with early critics’ awards heading into the holidays and January Oscar nominations voting.
Here’s the Oscar timeline, with our prediction chart below.
Launching at Sundance was Kenneth Lonergan’s emotionally devastating drama “Manchester By the Sea,” starring Best Actor frontrunner Casey Affleck and strong supporting players Michelle Williams and Lucas Hedges. Will Amazon Studios (with distributor Roadside Attractions) do better in the Oscar derby than rival Netflix did last year? Their more conventional, theatrically-friendly approach is showing great success.
Breaking out of the Cannes Film Festival in May was David Mackenzie’s modern western “Hell or High Water,” starring Jeff Bridges as a Texas marshall chasing bankrobber brothers Chris Pine and Ben Foster. Among a more diverse set of contenders than last year, “Loving,” the heart-tugging Jeff Nichols drama that emerged from Cannes, is a well-told true story boasting two strong acting contenders (Joel Edgerton and Ruth Negga) that opens up discussions on America’s fraught relationship with race.
“Loving” went on to Toronto, along with Focus Features’ well-received “A Monster Calls,” a four-hankie mother-son fantasy drama from Spanish filmmaker J.A. Bayona (“The Impossible”) starring “Theory of Everything” nominee Felicity Jones, a Supporting Actress candidate, which could grab needed attention when it finally opens at year’s end.
The fall fests proved a crucible for a raft of other critics’ faves.
Hacksaw Ridge
“Hacksaw Ridge”
Summit Entertainment
Venice introduced “Jackie,” Pablo Larrain’s first film in English, starring Natalie Portman as JFK’s grieving widow, which Fox Searchlight scooped up in Toronto for December 9th release. Portman won the Critics’ Choice award along with Globe and SAG nominations. Also playing well at Venice was “Braveheart” Oscar-winner Mel Gibson’s tough World War II war movie “Hacksaw Ridge” (Lionsgate, November 4), which reminded critics and audiences of what an effective director he is. Lauded Andrew Garfield could land a nomination — as a sensitive but tough Pacifist medic who wants to serve his country by not killing people but by saving their lives — as well as a number of ace craftspeople. But will the Academy forgive director Gibson for his trespasses?
Telluride broke out Damien Chazelle’s audacious musical romance “La La Land,” starring singer-dancers Emma Stone and Ryan Gosling, as well as Barry Jenkins’ coming-of-age ensemble drama “Moonlight” (A24), featuring Supporting Actor frontrunner Mahershala Ali (New York Film Critics and Critics Choice winner, Globe and SAG nominee) and Supporting Actress Globe and SAG nominee Naomie Harris.
TFF introduced Clint Eastwood’s airplane rescue drama “Sully,” starring well-reviewed Tom Hanks (Warner Bros.), and Denis Villeneuve’s brainy sci-fi thriller “Arrival” (Paramount), starring Telluride tributee and Best Actress contender Amy Adams, who also stars in Tom Ford’s Venice/TIFF entry “Nocturnal Animals,” which can’t hurt. Hanks landed a Critics Choice nod but no Globe or SAG nominations, while Adams nabbed nominations for all three.
La La Land
“La La Land”
COURTESY OF SUMMIT ENTERTAINMENT
Also playing well in Toronto was Weinstein Co’s Oscar pick for this year, Garth Davis’s tearjerker “Lion,” starring Dev Patel and Nicole Kidman in a true story about a man who lost his family when he was five years old and uses Google Earth to find them again. Both scored Critics Choice, Globe and SAG nominations.
The New York Film Festival opened with Ava DuVernay’s well-reviewed, powerful documentary “13th,” and debuted Mike Mills’ affectionate 1979 Santa Barbara family drama, “20th Century Women,” starring Annette Bening in a rich leading role as a single mom raising her teen son in a boarding house with help from a younger woman (Critics Choice nominee Greta Gerwig). Bening grabbed Critics Choice and Globe nominations, but no SAG slot.
Don’t count out Jon Favreau’s popular and well-reviewed Rudyard Kipling adaptation “The Jungle Book” (Disney). Like Ang Lee’s “Life of Pi,” the family film could emerge as a strong contender with support from the crafts, although VFX is its strongest suit.
Screening well ahead of release is Ted Melfi’s real-life female empowerment drama “Hidden Figures” (Fox 2000), starring Taraji P. Henson, Jonelle Monae and Globe and SAG nominee Octavia Spencer as three African-American NASA math whizzes who helped to send astronaut John Glenn into orbit. Kevin Costner costars.
"Fences"
“Fences”
Denzel Washington and August Wilson’s screen adaptation of Tony-winning Broadway hit “Fences” (Paramount, December 25) features towering performances from Washington and Viola Davis (who opted to campaign for Supporting Actress), with support from a strong ensemble, many from the 2010 revival, including Stephen Henderson and Mykelti Williamson. It nabbed a coveted SAG ensemble nomination as well as Washington and Davis, with more awards recognition to come. And the Academy directors could commend actor-helmer Washington for successfully opening up the intimate, talky theater piece with help from Danish cinematographer Charlotte Bruus Christensen.
Last up was the much-anticipated new film from Martin Scorsese, gorgeous feudal Japanese missionary drama “Silence,” starring Andrew Garfield, Adam Driver and Liam Neeson, which should earn recognition from the crafts.

Best Picture Contenders Chart (in alphabetical order):

Frontrunners
“Arrival” (Paramount)
“Fences” (Paramount)
“Hell or High Water” (CBS Films)
“La La Land” (Lionsgate)
“Loving” (Focus Features)
“Manchester by the Sea” (Amazon, Roadside Attractions)
“Moonlight” (A24)
Contenders:
“20th Century Women” (A24)
“Hacksaw Ridge” (Lionsgate)
“Hidden Figures” (Fox)
“Jackie” (Fox Searchlight)
“The Jungle Book” (Disney)
“Lion” (Weinstein Co.)
Long Shots:
“A Monster Calls” (Focus Features)
“Silence” (Paramount)
“Sully” (Warner Bros.)